京津冀战略性新兴产业集聚对区域经济增长的空间溢出效应研究
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1.中国民航大学经济与管理学院;2.南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院;3.南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院

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F127;F275.6

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天津市2019年度哲学社会科学规划青年项目:新时代天津高端装备制造企业持续创新驱动要素及升级路径研究(TJGLQN19XSX-006)


Study on Spatial Spillover Effects of Agglomeration of Strategic Emerging Industries and Regional Economic Growth in BeiJing-TianJin-HeBei Region
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1.Civil Aviation University of China 2. Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics;2.College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics;3.College of Economics and Management,Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics

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    摘要:

    文章基于区位熵指数描述了2012—2017年京津冀战略性新兴产业集聚格局,同时,将地理空间因素纳入面板模型建立空间杜宾模型,实证检验了战略性新兴产业集聚对京津冀经济增长的空间溢出效应。最后,利用偏导数矩阵的方法对空间溢出效应分解,分析了产业集聚和其他控制变量对经济增长的影响。结果表明:第一,战略性新兴产业集聚和经济增长均存在“空间自相关性”和“空间溢出效应”;第二,当前阶段,京津冀战略性新兴产业集聚的“回流效应”大于“扩散效应”,引致产业集聚对经济增长的总效应为负,起抑制作用;第三,京津冀战略性新兴产业协同集聚作用较弱,产业资源错配、缺乏协同共享机制现象明显。第四,人力资本、固定资产投入、技术创新、外商投资等控制变量对经济增长具有正向促进作用,城镇化和金融投资对京津冀经济增长产生不利影响。

    Abstract:

    Based on the location entropy index, the agglomeration pattern of strategic emerging industries in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from 2012 to 2017 is described. Meanwhile, the spatial Durbin model is established by incorporating geospatial factors into the panel model to empirically test the spatial spillover effect of strategic emerging industries agglomeration on the economic growth of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. Finally, the spatial spillover effect is decomposed by partial differential equation, and the influence of industrial agglomeration and other control variables on economic growth is analyzed. The results show that: first, both the agglomeration of strategic emerging industries and economic growth have "spatial autocorrelation" and "spatial spillover effect". Second, at the current stage, the "reflux effect" of strategic emerging industries agglomeration in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is greater than its "diffusion effect", resulting in the overall negative effect of industrial agglomeration on economic growth, which plays a restraining role. Third, the strategic emerging industries in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region have weak collaborative agglomeration, and the misallocation of industrial resources and lack of collaborative sharing mechanism are obvious. Fourth, human capital, investment in fixed assets, technological innovation, foreign investment and other control variables have positive effects on economic growth, while urbanization and financial investment have negative effects on economic growth in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.

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曾刚,耿成轩,翁旻.京津冀战略性新兴产业集聚对区域经济增长的空间溢出效应研究[J].技术经济,2021,40(2):56-64.

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2020-03-13
  • 最后修改日期:2021-01-28
  • 录用日期:2020-05-25
  • 在线发布日期: 2021-02-08
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