中国对拉美国家出口贸易影响因素实证分析——基于总量与技术结构视角
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河北师范大学 商学院

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F752.62

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河北师范大学博士课题基金“中国外汇储备快速增长的风险、问题与趋势研究”(S2015B17)


Empirical Analysis of the Influencing Factors of China''s Export Trade to Latin American Countries:Based on the Perspective of Total and Technology Structure
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Business College,Hebei Normal University

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    摘要:

    本文首先通过计算中国对拉美七国四类制成品出口密集度等,分析中国对拉美地区制成品出口结构;通过考察中国和拉美七国生产要素结构变化情况对中拉要素禀赋差异作深入分析,以期探究中国对拉美制成品出口结构背后深层次原因。然后构建扩展引力模型分别从总量视角和技术结构视角探析中国对拉美货物出口主要影响因素,结果显示拉美国家国内生产总值、中拉要素禀赋差异、中国货币自由度、中国对拉美直接投资水平对中国向拉美出口总量均产生显著促进作用,各影响因素对不同技术类别制成品出口的作用效果存在差异性。为实现中国对拉美出口贸易结构优化升级,推动中国产业结构调整升级,促进拉美地区经济更快发展,研究有针对性地提出了对策建议。

    Abstract:

    Firstly, China''s export density of four kinds of manufactured products to seven countries in Latin America and so on were calculated to analyze the export structure of China''s manufactured products to Latin America. In order to explore the deep-seated reasons behind the export structure of China''s manufactured products to Latin America, the changes of production factors’ structure in China and seven Latin American countries were investigated to deeply analyze the factor endowment differences between China and Latin America. Secondly, the extended gravity model was built to analyze the main influencing factors of China''s merchandise exports to Latin America from the perspective of aggregation and technology structure respectively. The results show that Latin American country’s GDP, the difference in factor endowments between China and Latin America, China''s monetary freedom, and the level of China''s direct investment in Latin America all significantly promote China''s total exports to Latin America, and the effects of each influencing factor on exports of manufactured products with different types of technology are different. In order to achieve the optimizing and upgrading of China''s export trade structure to Latin America, push forward the adjustment and upgrading of China''s industrial structure, and promote faster economic development in Latin America, corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward.

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引用本文

赵国华,赵子薇.中国对拉美国家出口贸易影响因素实证分析——基于总量与技术结构视角[J].技术经济,2022,41(2):108-118.

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  • 收稿日期:2021-08-03
  • 最后修改日期:2022-02-17
  • 录用日期:2021-12-26
  • 在线发布日期: 2022-03-15
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