房价上涨、房地产扩张与高新技术产业发展
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

1.贵州财经大学;2.西南大学

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

F062.9

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金地区科学“区域房价不平衡上涨的财富分配效应及政策协调研究”(71964006)


Rising house prices, real estate expansion and high-tech industry development
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Guizhou University of Finance and Economics;2.Southwest University

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    摘 要:基于1999-2017年31省份的面板数据,构建系统广义矩(SYS-GMM)模型、动态面板门槛模型进行实证检验,分析房价上涨、房地产扩张对高新技术产业发展的影响。结果表明:房价上涨、房地产扩张对高新技术产业投入和产出两方面均有明显的抑制作用,2008年经济危机后,房价上涨对高新技术产业投入和产出的抑制作用显著增强;进一步研究发现房价上涨对高新技术产业发展存在“门槛效应”。具体来说,在房价收入比较低时,房价上涨对高新技术产业发展有促进作用;在房价收入比较高时,房价上涨会显著抑制高新技术产业发展;高新技术投入与产出均具有一定的惯性,政府支持对高新技术产业发展的推动作用显著。本文根据研究结论提出了相应的对策建议。

    Abstract:

    Abstract: Based on the panel data of 31 provinces from 1999 to 2017, the system generalized moment (SYS-GMM) model and the dynamic panel threshold model were set up to conduct empirical tests to discuss the impact of rising house prices and real estate expansion on the development of high-tech industries. The study shows that rising housing prices and real estate expansion have a significant inhibitory effect on both the input and output of high-tech industries. After the 2008 economic crisis, the effect of rising housing prices on the input and output of high-tech industries was significantly enhanced。Further research shows that housing prices rise has a "threshold effect" on the development of high-tech industries. Specifically, when the HPIR (House Price to Income Ratio) is relatively low, the housing price rise will promote the development of high-tech industries. While the HPIR is relatively high, the housing price rise will significantly inhibit the development of high-tech industries. High-tech input and output have certain inertia. The government''s support plays an important role on promoting the development of high-tech industries. Corresponding countermeasures and suggestions were put forward according to the research conclusion.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

傅东平,彭政钦.房价上涨、房地产扩张与高新技术产业发展[J].技术经济,2022,41(1):112-122.

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2021-08-09
  • 最后修改日期:2022-01-20
  • 录用日期:2021-11-18
  • 在线发布日期: 2022-03-02
  • 出版日期:
您是第 位访问者
电话:010-65055536, 18515632865  Email:jishujingji@cste.org.cn
地址:北京市海淀区学院南路86号(100081)  邮政编码:80-584
ICP:京ICP备05035734号-5
技术经济 ® 2024 版权所有
技术支持:北京勤云科技发展有限公司

向全国科技工作者致敬!

关闭