数字贸易如何影响贸易高质量发展——基于贸易全要素生产率视角的经验证据
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哈尔滨商业大学经济学院

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F740 F49

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国家社会科学基金项目——“丝绸之路经济带”视阈下中国—欧亚经济联盟FTA创建研究(项目编号:18BJL094);


How does digital trade affect the high-quality development of trade——Empirical evidence based on the TFP perspective
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Harbin University of Commerce, School of Economics,

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    摘要:

    贸易高质量发展是高效优质利用国内国际两种市场和资源的关键抓手,能够有力推动双循环新发展格局及经济高质量发展。基于2010-2020年中国省际数据,实证考察了数字贸易对贸易高质量发展的影响及相关作用机制。研究发现,一是数字贸易能够有效促进贸易高质量发展,且这种影响受到市场开放度的调节;此外,从数字贸易各维度看,其对贸易高质量发展的影响存在异质性;二是数字贸易能够通过产业结构和物流业升级对贸易高质量发展产生推动作用;三是空间回归表明某一地区数字贸易发展会对周边地区产生负向溢出效应。进一步的拓展性分析发现,在东、中部地区数字贸易能够有效推动贸易高质量发展,对西部地区虽有促进作用,但并不明显;数字贸易各维度中,数字技术在中部地区对贸易高质量发展具有显著促进作用,数字产业化贸易在东、中部地区对贸易高质量发展具有显著促进作用。研究有助于理清数字贸易和贸易高质量发展之间的逻辑关系及作用机制,为我国通过发展数字贸易视角推动贸易高质量发展提供了理论和经验支撑,为政策决策提供建议。

    Abstract:

    High-quality development of trade is the key to efficient and high-quality use of domestic and international markets and resources, which can effectively promote the new pattern of double-cycle development and high-quality economic development. Based on China"s provincial data from 2010 to 2020, this paper empirically examines the impact of digital trade on high-quality trade development and its mechanisms. The results show that digital trade can effectively promote the high-quality development of trade, and the impact is moderated by market openness. In addition, from various dimensions of digital trade, there is heterogeneity in its impact on the high-quality development of trade; Secondly, digital trade can promote the high-quality development of trade through upgrading of industrial structure and logistics industry; Third, spatial regression shows that the development of digital trade in one region will have negative spillover effects on the surrounding areas. Further extended analysis shows that digital trade can effectively promote the high-quality development of trade in the eastern and central regions, but it does not significantly promote the development of trade in the western regions. Among the dimensions of digital trade, digital technology plays a significant role in promoting the high-quality development of trade in the central region, and digital industrialization trade plays a significant role in promoting the high-quality development of trade in the eastern and central regions. The research helps clarify the logical relationship and mechanism between digital trade and high-quality trade development, provides theoretical and empirical support for China to promote high-quality trade development from the perspective of developing digital trade, and provides suggestions for policy decisions.

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杨慧瀛,杨宏举.数字贸易如何影响贸易高质量发展——基于贸易全要素生产率视角的经验证据[J].技术经济,2023,42(3):40-51.

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2022-11-03
  • 最后修改日期:2023-04-11
  • 录用日期:2023-02-01
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-04-21
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