教育层次结构对产业结构优化升级的影响研究——基于空间杜宾模型
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1.晋城职业技术学院财经系;2.山西医科大学

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G40-054;F121.3

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全国教育科学规划教育部重点课题“中国区域教育层次结构变化对产业结构优化影响效应的统计测度研究”(DFA160250)


Research on the Influence of Educational Hierarchy on the Optimization of Industrial Structure:Based on the Spatial Dubin Model
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1.Finance Department,Jincheng Institute of Technology,Jincheng 048000,Shanxi,China;2.Shanxi Medical University

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    摘要:

    本文就如何更有效率地发挥不同教育层次的人力资本在我国产业结构优化升级过程中作用的问题进行了研究。首先在促进就业目标下,采用结构影响指数测算了 2005—2018 年期间我国各省份产业结构优化指数;其次采用空间杜宾模型分析了不同教育层次的人力资本对我国各地区产业结构优化指数的影响。实证分析结果表明:初等教育的就业人数比重变化对全国东、中、西部三大地区产业结构优化升级的直接影响均为负,并且呈现出由东向西不断递增的态势,仅西部地区的空间溢出效应显著;中等教育就业人数比重上升对我国中西部地区产业结构优化升级的直接影响和空间溢出效应均为正且显著,东部地区不显著;高等教育的就业人数比重上升对全国及东、中、西部三大地区的产业结构优化升级的直接影响和空间溢出效应为正且显著,其中东部地区的影响效应最显著。

    Abstract:

    How to more effectively play the role of human capital at different levels of education in the process of China’s industrial structure optimization is studied. Firstly,based on the goal of promoting employment,the structural impact index is set up to calculate the industrial structure optimization index of China’s provinces during the period of 2005?2018. Secondly,the Spatial Dubin Model is used to analyze the impact of human capital on different levels of education on China’s industrial structure optimization index. The results show as follows. It is negative that the change in the proportion of human capital in primary education directly impacts on the optimization of the industrial structure in the three regions of the Eastern,Central and western regions in China,and it also shows an increasing trend from east to west,only the space spillover effect of the western region is significant. It is positive and significant that the increase in the proportion of human capital in secondary education directly impacts on the optimization of industrial structure in the central and western regions in China,and it is not significant in Eastern region;It is positive and significant that the increase in the proportion of human capital in high education directly impacts on the optimization and of industrial structure in the Eastern,Central and Western regions in China. Among them,the spatial spillover effect in the eastern region is the most significant.

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陈晋玲,史可鉴.教育层次结构对产业结构优化升级的影响研究——基于空间杜宾模型[J].技术经济,2020,39(10):112-118.

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  • 收稿日期:2019-10-15
  • 最后修改日期:2020-10-16
  • 录用日期:2020-07-01
  • 在线发布日期: 2020-11-09
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