普惠金融能成为促进中国产业结构优化升级的新动能吗 —基于互联网发展的机制分析
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南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院

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F832.42

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安徽省高校人文社会科学研究重大项目(SK2018SD056)、安徽省高校自然科学研究重点项目(KJ2017A588, KJ2018A0722)、安徽省高校2017年度国内访学研修项目(gxfx2017201)的资助。


Can inclusive finance promote the improvement of China""s industrial structure -- mechanism analysis based on Internet development
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College of economics and management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics

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    摘要:

    摘要:研究目标:实证分析普惠金融,互联网发展对于中国产业结构优化升级的影响。研究方法:运用2003-2016年中国城市面板数据,采用双向固定效应模型、工具变量回归模型和面板门槛模型等。研究了普惠金融、互联网发展与中国产业结构优化升级的作用机理和因果关系。研究发现:金融宽度的扩展即普惠金融正向显著促进了中国产业结构升级。互联网发展具有调节效应和中介效应,这两种效应具有阶段特征和区域异质性。互联网发展拓展了交易边界,提高了金融包容性水平。两者的耦合发展对产业结构优化升级的影响,具有非线性特征和显著的网络溢出效应。研究创新:基于更为丰富的城市数据,实证检验了普惠金融是中国产业结构优化升级的新动能。而互联网是赋能的中介和有效途径。研究价值:研究结果为金融发展方式的转变和普惠金融的实施提供了证据。佐证了“互联网+普惠金融”是促进产业结构优化升级的路径。实证了互联网发展是普惠金融赋能中国产业结构优化升级的有力抓手。在转变金融发展方式的同时也要加快互联网的技术创新升级,加强二者的深度融合。实证内容具有政策启示。

    Abstract:

    Abstract: research objective: Article empirical analysis impact of inclusive finance and Internet development on the optimization and upgrading of China""s industrial structure. Research methods: Using panel data of Chinese cities from 2003 to 2016, using fixed effect model, instrumental variable regression model and panel threshold model, etc. This paper studies the mechanism and causal relationship between the development of inclusive finance and Internet and the optimization and upgrading of China""s industrial structure. Research findings: It is found that the expansion of financial breadth (inclusive finance) is significantly promoting the upgrading of China""s industrial structure. The development of Internet plays a moderating and mediating role in this process, which is a gradual transition process with regional heterogeneity and threshold effect. The development of the Internet has expanded transaction boundaries and raised the level of financial inclusiveness. The coupling development of the two has nonlinear characteristics and significant network spillover effect on the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure. Research innovation: Based on more abundant urban data, the empirical test shows that inclusive finance is a new driving force for the optimization and upgrading of China""s industrial structure. And the Internet is an intermediary and effective way to empower. Research value: The results provide evidence for the transformation of financial development patterns and the implementation of inclusive finance. This proves that "Internet + inclusive finance" is the way to promote the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure. It is proved that Internet development is a powerful way to optimize and upgrade China""s industrial structure. While transforming the mode of financial development, it is also necessary to accelerate the technological innovation and upgrading of the Internet and strengthen the in-depth integration of the two. The empirical content has policy implications.

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苏任刚.普惠金融能成为促进中国产业结构优化升级的新动能吗 —基于互联网发展的机制分析[J].技术经济,2020,39(4):39-52.

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  • 收稿日期:2019-12-19
  • 最后修改日期:2020-04-21
  • 录用日期:2020-02-23
  • 在线发布日期: 2020-06-19
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