数字金融对经济高质量发展的影响 ——基于空间杜宾模型的研究
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作者单位:

1.国际关系学院经济金融学院;2.中央财经大学信息学院;3.中国人民大学财政金融学院

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F832.1

基金项目:

国家社会科学基金青年项目“‘一带一路’背景下推进中国对外文化贸易发展的路径研究”(批准号:18CJY044);中央高校基本科研业务专项经费项目


Impact of Digital Finance on High-quality Economic Development:An Empirical Analysis Based on Spatial Durbin Model
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Affiliation:

1.School of Economics and Finance, School of International Relations;2.School of Information, Central University of Finance and Economics;3.School of Finance and Finance, Renmin University of China

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    摘要:

    数字金融是促进中国经济高质量发展的重要力量。基于2011—- 2018年中国30个省份的面板数据,利用空间杜宾模型实证检验数字金融对中国经济高质量发展的影响及其空间溢出效应,并考察不同地区、数字金融结构以及城镇化率影响的异质性。研究表明数字金融能够显著促进本地区经济高质量发展,但对邻近地区的溢出效应有限,该结论在考虑内生性及稳健性检验之后仍然成立。异质性分析中,数字金融发展对东中西部地区经济高质量发展均存在显著促进作用,但对西部地区的影响更大;且仅在东西地区表现出正向空间溢出效应。数字金融覆盖广度和使用深度对本地区经济高质量发展均存在显著促进作用,而其数字化程度却产生明显抑制效应;仅数字金融覆盖广度对邻近地区经济高质量发展具有正向溢出影响。高城镇化率地区的数字金融发展有助于本地区经济高质量发展,但在低城镇化率地区的作用不明显,且均不存在显著的空间溢出效应。应强化数字金融监管,促进数字金融在东中西部地区协调发展,加快地区经济圈与城镇化建设,强化数字金融在省际之间的溢出效应。

    Abstract:

    Digital finance is an important force in promoting high-quality economic development in China. Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2011 to 2018, the spatial Durbin model is used to empirically test the impact of digital finance on the high-quality development of China''s economy and its spatial spillover effects, and examine the heterogeneous impact of different regions, digital financial structures and urbanization rates. The research shows that digital finance can significantly promote the high-quality economic development in the region, but the spillover effect on neighboring regions is limited. This conclusion still holds after considering endogeneity and robustness tests. In the heterogeneity analysis, the development of digital finance plays a significant role in promoting the high-quality economic development in the eastern, central and western regions, but has a greater impact on the western region and only a positive spatial spillover effect in the eastern and western regions. The coverage breadth and depth of digital finance coverage significantly promotes the high-quality economic development of the region, while its digitalization has a significant inhibitory effect; and only the coverage breadth of digital finance has a positive spillover effect on high-quality economic development of neighboring regions. The development of digital finance in areas with high urbanization rate is conducive to the high-quality development of the local economy, but the effect is not obvious in areas with low urbanization rate, and there is no significant spatial spillover effect. It is advised to strengthen digital finance supervision, promote the coordinated development of digital finance in the eastern and central and western regions. What’s more, to speed up the construction of regional economic circle and urbanization, and to strengthen the spillover effect of digital finance among provinces are also important.

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曾燕萍,蒋楚钰,崔智斌.数字金融对经济高质量发展的影响 ——基于空间杜宾模型的研究[J].技术经济,2022,41(4):94-106.

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  • 收稿日期:2021-08-30
  • 最后修改日期:2022-03-31
  • 录用日期:2022-02-17
  • 在线发布日期: 2022-04-20
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