进口竞争与中国制造业就业动态:基于中国从美国进口的经验分析
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1.合肥工业大学;2.合肥工业大学 经济学院

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F746

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教育部人文社会科学研究青年“新发展格局下国内价值链和全球价值链互动机制及稳增长效应研究”(21YJC790036);安徽省哲学社会科学规划项目“全球价值链调整对我国异质劳动力就业的影响机制与政策研究 ”(AHSKF2019D022),


Import Competition and Employment Dynamics of China’s Manufacturing:Based on the experience analysis of China
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School of Economics,Hefei University of Technology

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    摘要:

    在当前中国主动扩大进口和中美贸易摩擦频发的双重背景下,本文基于高度细分的中国制造业企业微观数据,从企业就业的二元边际视角评估了2000-2012年中国制造业企业就业动态,并实证检验来自美国的进口竞争对制造业就业动态的影响。研究发现,来自美国的进口竞争对制造业净就业无显著影响,但对其背后的就业动态影响显著;进口竞争对中国制造业企业就业动态的影响主要表现在抑制企业进入和促进企业退出,且该影响随着地区、企业所有制、贸易模式的变化而呈现差异。机制检验表明,进口竞争通过抑制企业生产率阻碍企业进入、增加企业退出。此外,考虑上下游产业关联后,进口竞争对就业动态的影响进一步扩大。文章研究结论表明,除了就业总量增长外,微观企业层面的就业动态对于“稳就业”目标的实现也至关重要。

    Abstract:

    Under the current dual background of China"s active expansion of imports and frequent trade frictions between China and the United States, this paper evaluates the employment dynamics of China’s manufacturing from 2000 to 2012 based on the highly segmtized micro-data of Chinese manufacturing firms, and empirically tests the impact of import competition from the United States on the employment dynamics of manufacturing .It is found that the import competition from the United States has no significant impact on the net employment ,but has a significant impact on the employment dynamics behind it.The impact of import competition on the employment dynamics of China’s manufacturing is mainly reflected in inhibiting the births of firms and promoting the deaths of firms, and presents differences among different regions, corporate ownerships and trade patterns.The mechanism test shows that import competition hinders the births of firms and increases the deaths of firms by inhibiting the productivity of enterprises.In addition, the impact of import competition on employment dynamics is further enlarged after considering the upstream and downstream industry linkages.The conclusion of this paper shows that in addition to the growth of total employment, the employment dynamics at the micro-firm level is also crucial to the realization of the goal of “stable employment”.

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葛阳琴,陈悦.进口竞争与中国制造业就业动态:基于中国从美国进口的经验分析[J].技术经济,2022,41(7):120-131.

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  • 收稿日期:2022-01-24
  • 最后修改日期:2022-07-25
  • 录用日期:2022-05-17
  • 在线发布日期: 2022-08-29
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