中国自贸试验区建设吸引了外商直接投资流入吗? ——来自216个地级市的面板数据考察
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上海海洋大学

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F832.6

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2020年上海市哲学社会科学规划项目“上海自贸区临港新片区国际离岸金融中心建设研究”(2020BGJ004)。


Has China''s Pilot Free Trade Zone Attracted Foreign Direct Investment?: Panel data from 216 prefecture-level cities
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Shanghai Ocean University

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    摘要:

    自由贸易试验区作为中国深化改革与开放的一项政策实验,尝试通过制度创新实现贸易、投资自由化,其政策效果究竟如何?研究基于2000—2019年216个地级市面板数据,运用广义合成控制法实证检验了我国自贸试验区对外商直接投资的影响。研究发现,自贸试验区在一定程度上吸引了外商直接投资流入,且随着时间推进,其对外商直接投资的正向促进作用愈发明显;控制其他政策因素的多期双重差分法的结果进一步验证了上述结论的可靠性。研究进一步发现:自贸试验区吸引外商直接投资的政策效果存在差异性。从时间趋势看,不同批次自贸试验区的政策导向不同,对外商直接投资的影响力度不同;从区域层面看,自贸试验区建设中,东部地区对外商直接投资的促进作用更强,中部地区的政策效应存在滞后性,西部地区吸引外商直接投资力度有下降趋势;从城市规模看,自贸试验区建设对一线城市外商直接投资的吸引力度更明显,级别越低的城市可塑性越强,吸引外商直接投资流入效果越显著。从不同发展梯度看,沿海自贸试验区对外商直接投资的正向影响程度高于内陆自贸试验区,而沿边自贸试验区并未发挥出对外商直接投资的吸引作用。

    Abstract:

    As a policy experiment of China''s deepening reform and opening up, the pilot free trade zone attempts to realize the liberalization and facilitation of trade and investment through institutional innovation. What is the policy effect? Based on the panel data of 216 prefecture-level cities from 2000 to 2019, the influence of China''s pilot free trade zone on foreign direct investment was tested by generalized synthetic control method. It is found that: the pilot free trade zone has attracted foreign direct investment to a certain extent, and its positive role in promoting foreign direct investment has become increasingly obvious over time. The results of multi-period difference in difference method for controlling other policy factors further verify the reliability of the above conclusions. Further research finds that there are differences in the policy effects of the pilot free trade zone to foreign direct investment. From the time trend, the policy orientation of different batches of the pilot free trade zone is different, and the impact on foreign direct investment is different. From the regional perspective, in the construction of the pilot free trade zone, the eastern region has a stronger role in promoting foreign direct investment, the policy effect in the central region has a lag, and the western region has a downward trend in attracting foreign direct investment. From the perspective of city size, the attraction of the pilot free trade zone to foreign direct investment in first-tier cities is more obvious. The lower the city level is, the stronger the plasticity of cities is, and the more significant the effect of attracting foreign direct investment is. From different development gradients, the positive impact of the coastal pilot free trade zone on foreign direct investment is higher than that of the inland pilot free trade zone, while the border pilot free trade zone does not show the attraction to foreign direct investment.

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王倩,谢玲玲.中国自贸试验区建设吸引了外商直接投资流入吗? ——来自216个地级市的面板数据考察[J].技术经济,2022,41(7):93-105.

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  • 收稿日期:2022-03-22
  • 最后修改日期:2022-07-24
  • 录用日期:2022-05-17
  • 在线发布日期: 2022-08-29
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