企业投资是否拉大了南北经济差距?
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1.首都经济贸易大学城市经济与公共管理学院;2.首都经济贸易大学管理工程学院

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F127

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国家社会科学基金项目


Does enterprise investment widen the economic gap between North and South China?
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1.School of Urban Economics and Public Affairs, Capital University of Economics and Business;2.School of Management and Engineering, Capital University of Economics and Business

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    摘要:

    中国经济发展进入新常态以来,我国南北经济差距现象逐渐受到关注,本文首先从在营企业注册资本额和企业新增吸收资本总额两个指标分析了我国南北经济差距的主要表现:南北差距持续拉大,且以2013年为界呈现两阶段特征。基于此,本文采用2002-2019年中国285个地级市面板数据,通过构建计量经济模型,从供给侧视角分析企业投资对全国、北方及南方地区经济增长的影响,探讨企业投资是否是拉大我国南北经济差距的重要因素,并通过构建面板门槛回归模型,进一步探究在对外开放和政府干预条件下企业投资对经济增长的影响。研究结果表明:(1)企业投资对南北方地区经济增长均存在显著的正向影响,且对南方经济增长的促进作用远高于北方地区,加之南方地区企业获取的投资额远高于北方地区,故南北差距进一步拉大;(2)以2013年为界,不论是南北方地区企业投资的经济效应均会逐渐减弱,但企业投资对南方经济增长的促进作用始终高于北方地区。(3)无论是北方地区还是南方地区,企业投资对区域经济增长的促进效应均会随着对外开放的提高而减弱;(4)就北方地区而言,企业投资对区域经济增长的正向影响效应随着政府干预的降低而增强,而对于南方地区则不存在明显的门槛效应。整体上看,企业投资在一定程度上拉大了我国的南北经济差距,且南北方企业投资领域的差异导致的新旧动能转化的差异,存在进一步拉大我国南北经济差距的可能。

    Abstract:

    Since China"s economic development has entered a new normal, the regional economic gap has changed from the East-West gap to the North-South gap. This paper first analyzes the main performance of China"s North-South economic gap from the total capital newly absorbed by enterprises and the registered capital of operating enterprises: It continues to widen and presents two-stage characteristics with 2013 as the boundary. Based on this, this paper uses the panel data of 285 prefecture-level cities in China from 2002 to 2019, and constructs an econometric model to analyze the influence of enterprise investment on economic growth of China, the north and the south from the perspective of supply side, and explores whether enterprise investment is an important factor to widen the economic gap between the north and the south of China. By building a panel threshold model, it further explores the influence of opening up and government intervention on enterprise investment on economic growth. The results show that: (1) Enterprise investment has a significant positive impact on the economic growth in both the north and the south, and its promotion effect on the economic growth in the south is much higher than that in the north. In addition, the investment amount obtained by enterprises in the south is much higher than that in the north, so the gap between the north and the south is further widened. (2) Taking 2013 as the boundary, the economic effects of enterprise investment in both the north and south regions will gradually weaken, but the promotion effect of enterprise investment on economic growth in the south is always higher than that in the north. (3) Whether in the northern or southern regions, the positive effect of enterprise investment on regional economic growth will be weakened with the improvement of opening up; (4) As far as the northern region is concerned, the positive effect of enterprise investment on regional economic growth increases with the decrease of government intervention, but there is no threshold effect for the southern region. On the whole, enterprise investment has widened the economic gap between China"s north and south to a certain extent, and the difference between the investment fields of enterprises in the south and north leads to the difference in the transformation of old and new kinetic energy, which may further widen the economic gap between China"s north and south.

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叶堂林,王雪莹,李梦雪.企业投资是否拉大了南北经济差距?[J].技术经济,,():.

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  • 收稿日期:2022-05-11
  • 最后修改日期:2022-06-25
  • 录用日期:2022-07-19
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