绿色技术创新与高质量绿色发展的耦合协调与互动响应
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1.中国地质大学(武汉);2.中国地质大学武汉经济管理学院;3.China University of Geosciences

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F061.5;F124.3

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国家社会科学基金重大项目“略性矿产资源产业链供应链安全的国家战略研究”(21 ZD106)


Long‐term Equilibrium and Short‐term Dynamic Between Green Technology Innovation and High Quality Green Development
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1.China University of Geosciences;2.中国地质大学(武汉);3.中国地质大学(武汉)经济管理学院

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    摘要:

    基于长江经济带2011-2020年的数据,构建高质量绿色发展的综合指标以及绿色技术创新的综合指标,运用非期望产出SBM-DEA模型以及全局主成分-熵权法对综合指标进行测度,采用耦合协调模型考察了绿色技术创新和高质量绿色发展之间的相互作用和协调水平,并依据协整检验、格兰杰因果检验和PVAR模型系统地考察了绿色技术创新与高质量绿色发展的长期均衡和短期动态关系。结果表明:(1)2011-2020年长江经济带各省市的绿色技术创新与高质量绿色发展之间的耦合协调度稳定上升,整体上由初级协调转变为优质协调,说明绿色技术创新与高质量绿色发展间存在较强的互动水平和较高的协调关系;(2)绿色技术创新和高质量绿色发展存在长期均衡关系,在长期上体现为相互促进;短期内,绿色技术创新和高质量绿色发展之间存在明显的双向促进关系,高质量绿色发展可以引导绿色技术创新的提升,绿色技术创新对高质量绿色发展的正向影响存在滞后效应;(3)对绿色创新效率分解得到技术效率和技术进步指数。相比于绿色技术效率,绿色技术进步更能够推动高质量绿色发展,影响绿色技术创新与高质量绿色发展之间的动态响应。

    Abstract:

    Based on the data in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2011 to 2020, this paper constructs comprehensive indicators of high-quality green development (HGD), and green technology innovation (GTI), and uses the SBM-DEA model of undesired output and the global principal component-entropy weight method to measure the comprehensive indicators. The interaction and coordination between GTI and HGD were investigated by using the coupling coordination model, and the long-term equilibrium and short-term dynamic relationship between GTI and HGD were systematically investigated by using the co-integration test, Granger test and PVAR model. The results show that:(1)From 2011 to 2020, the coupling coordination degree between GTI and HGD in provinces and cities of the Yangtze River Economic Belt has been rising steadily, and the overall level has changed from primary coordination to high-quality coordination, indicating that there is a strong interaction level and a high coordination relationship between GTI and HGD.(2)There is a long-term equilibrium relationship between GTI and HGD, which is reflected in mutual promotion.In the short term, there is an obvious two-way promoting relationship between GTI and HGD. High-quality green development can guide the improvement of GTI, and the positive impact of GTI on high-quality green development has a lagging effect. (3)The efficiency decomposition is used to obtain the technical efficiency and technological progress index. Compared with technology efficiency, technology progress is more able to promote high-quality green development and affect the dynamic response between GTI and HGD.

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王林珠,孙艺欣,徐德义.绿色技术创新与高质量绿色发展的耦合协调与互动响应[J].技术经济,2023,42(5):1-15.

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  • 收稿日期:2022-11-21
  • 最后修改日期:2023-05-09
  • 录用日期:2023-03-13
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-05-26
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