京津冀一体化促进了高质量发展吗? —基于回归控制法的政策评估
CSTR:
作者单位:

中国人民大学

中图分类号:

F061.5

基金项目:

中国人民大学研究生科学研究基金项目“双循环背景下宏观经济政策协调性问题研究”(21XNH070)


Has Beijing?Tianjin?Hebei Integration Promoted High?quality Development?A Policy Evaluation Based on Regression Control Method
Affiliation:

Renmin University of China

  • 摘要
  • | |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • | |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    基于 2005—2019 年中国 31 个省市(自治区)(因数据缺失,不含港澳台地区)的相关数据,从经济增长、经济结构、公共 服务、生态环境 4 个方面构建指标体系,利用回归控制法深入分析京津冀协同发展战略的政策效应,评估其对区域高质量发展 的推动作用。研究结果表明,京津冀协同发展战略显著提升了区域经济发展的质量,在推动产业结构变迁和产业技术升级的 同时,改善了公共服务水平和生态环境质量。然而,其并未促进区域经济发展数量的全面攀升。究其原因,在于该战略对不同 城市的功能定位不同,相应影响存在异质性。研究为定量分析和评估京津冀协同发展战略的政策效应提供了一定参考,并对 化解区域发展不平衡的困境具有一定现实意义。

    Abstract:

    Based on the relevant data of 31 provinces and cities(including autonomous regions)(Due to the lack of data,the statistical data mentioned here do not include the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region,the Macao Special Administrative Region and Taiwan Province.)in China from 2005 to 2019,an index system was constructed from four aspects,including economic growth,economic structure, public services and ecological environment. The regression control method was used to analyze and evaluate the policy effect of the Beijing‐Tianjin‐Hebei coordinated development strategy and evaluate its role in promoting high‐quality regional development. The results show that the Beijing‐Tianjin‐Hebei coordinated development strategy has significantly improved the quality of regional economic development,promoted the transformation of industrial structure and the upgrade of industrial technology,while improved public services and the quality of the ecological environment. However,it has not promoted an overall increase in the quantity of regional economic development. The reason is that different functional orientations of the strategy for different cities bring heterogeneous impact. The results provide some reference for quantitative analysis and evaluation of the policy effects of the Beijing‐Tianjin‐Hebei coordinated development strategy,and offers a new perspective on the problem of unbalanced regional development.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

李雯,原志听.京津冀一体化促进了高质量发展吗? —基于回归控制法的政策评估[J].技术经济,2023,42(7):77-93.

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2023-03-16
  • 最后修改日期:2023-07-03
  • 录用日期:2023-05-30
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-07-20
文章二维码
您是第 位访问者
电话:010-65055536, 18515632865  Email:jishujingji@cste.org.cn
地址:北京市海淀区学院南路86号(100081)  邮政编码:80-584
ICP:京ICP备05035734号-5
技术经济 ® 2025 版权所有
技术支持:北京勤云科技发展有限公司
请使用 Firefox、Chrome、IE10、IE11、360极速模式、搜狗极速模式、QQ极速模式等浏览器,其他浏览器不建议使用!
×
《技术经济》
中国技术经济学会第三十二届学术年会(2025)征文启事