数字经济发展提升了城市出口韧性吗
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东北财经大学 国际经济贸易学院

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F746.12

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国家社会科学基金后期资助项目“中美科技竞争与我国高技术供应链安全发展研究”(22FGJB003)


Does the Development of Digital Economy Improve the Export Resilience of Cities
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College of International Economic and Trade,Dongbei University of Finance and Economics

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    摘要:

    面对全球经济增速放缓、贸易局势紧张带来的巨大负面冲击,数字经济逆势而上,在贸易领域起到了“稳定器”的作用。基于中国城市和海关数据,考察数字经济发展与城市出口韧性二者之间的联系。研究发现,数字经济发展有助于提升城市出口韧性,且后续的稳健性检验和内生性处理结论也支持了这一观点;异质性分析结果显示,数字经济发展对城市出口韧性的作用因城市区位和政府治理效能、出口目的国经济发展水平和政治风险而异;机制分析表明,数字经济发展通过降低城市贸易成本、提高城市创新能力和增强城市创业活力进而增强城市出口韧性;进一步研究发现,在外部不确定性冲击背景下,数字经济能够平抑风险并持续提升城市出口韧性水平。本文厘清了数字经济发展增强城市出口韧性的作用机理,研究结论为我国城市在世界政治经济形势复杂多变的背景下,推动贸易“稳中求进”,实现贸易高质量发展提供了值得借鉴的政策启示。

    Abstract:

    Facing the slowdown of global economic growth and trade tensions,the digital economy has bucked the trend and played the role of a“stabilizer”in the trade sector. Based on the data of China’s cities and customs,the relationship between digital economy development and cities’export resilience was examined. The results reveal that the development of the digital economy helps to improve the resilience of cities’export,and the subsequent robustness test and endogenous processing conclusions also support this view. The results of heterogeneity analysis show that the effect of digital economic development on cities’export resilience varies with city location and government governance effectiveness,economic development level and political risk of export destination countries. Mechanism analysis shows that the development of the digital economy can enhance the resilience of cities’export by reducing trade costs,improving innovation capabilities,and enhancing entrepreneurial activity. Further research has found that in the context of external uncertainty shocks,the digital economy can stabilize risks and continuously improve the cities’export resilience. It clarifies the mechanism by which the development of the digital economy enhances the resilience of cities’exports,and the research conclusions provide policy inspirations for cities to promote trade“seek progress while maintaining stability”and achieve high?quality trade development under the background of complex and ever?changing world political and economic situations.

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苏杭,卢笑同.数字经济发展提升了城市出口韧性吗[J].技术经济,2023,42(9):67-82.

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  • 收稿日期:2023-06-06
  • 最后修改日期:2023-08-22
  • 录用日期:2023-07-18
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-10-11
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