畜牧业技术进步的碳减排效应及其作用机制——基于中介效应、调节效应和空间溢出效应的检验
CSTR:
作者单位:

1.山东农业大学;2.山东财经大学东方学院

中图分类号:

F303

基金项目:

山东省社会科学基金青年项目“碳补偿视角下山东省畜牧业低碳发展的实现机制研究”(22DJJJ18)。


Carbon Emission Reduction Effect and Its Mechanism of Technological Progress in Animal Husbandry: A Test Based on Mediating Effect, Regulating Effect and Spatial Spillover Effect
Author:
Affiliation:

College of Economics and Management, Shandong Agriculture University

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    摘要:

    厘清技术进步推动我国畜牧业碳减排的机理,对畜牧业低碳转型和“双碳”目标实现具有重要理论与现实意义。基于2007-2020年31省(市、自治区)的面板数据,测算并揭示中国畜牧业碳排放现状与特征,在此基础上,利用面板回归模型分析技术进步对畜牧业碳排放的影响及空间溢出效应。研究发现,全国畜牧业碳排放呈缩减趋势,各省畜牧业碳排放差异显著,整体呈“西高东低”的梯次分布格局。技术进步通过畜牧业碳排放强度改进减少的碳排放可以遏制其通过经济增长所带来的碳排放的增加,但这一结果具有区域异质性,技术进步对西部地区畜牧业碳排放的“规模效应”大于“强度效应”,因而未能同时实现经济发展与减排,进一步探究发现,技术进步对畜牧业碳排放的边际效应随着产业集聚水平的提升而增强。此外,技术进步对畜牧业碳排放还具有显著的空间溢出效应,具体表现为,本地区技术进步增长一个单位,邻区畜牧业碳排放将会降低1.666个百分点。

    Abstract:

    It is of great theoretical and practical significance to clarify the mechanism of carbon emission reduction in animal husbandry promoted by technological progress for low-carbon transformation of animal husbandry and the realization of“Double-carbon” target. Based on the panel data of 31 provinces (cities and autonomous regions) from 2007 to 2020, the present status and characteristics of carbon emissions from animal husbandry in China are estimated and revealed, the panel regression model was used to analyze the impact of technological progress on carbon emission and spatial spillover effect of animal husbandry. The results show that the carbon emission of animal husbandry is decreasing in China, and there is a significant difference among different provinces. The reduction of carbon emissions from technological progress through the improvement of carbon intensity in animal husbandry can curb the increase of carbon emissions from economic growth, but this result has regional heterogeneity, the“Scale effect” of technological progress on the carbon emissions of animal husbandry in the western region is greater than the“Intensity effect”, so it can not achieve both economic development and emission reduction, the marginal effect of technological progress on carbon emission of animal husbandry is enhanced with the increase of industrial agglomeration level. In addition, technological progress has a significant spatial spillover effect on livestock carbon emissions, as demonstrated by the fact that a unit increase in technological progress in the region will reduce livestock carbon emissions by 1.666 percentage points in neighbouring regions.

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引用本文

吴强,孙继雅,陈金兰.畜牧业技术进步的碳减排效应及其作用机制——基于中介效应、调节效应和空间溢出效应的检验[J].技术经济,2023,42(11):62-74.

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2023-06-12
  • 最后修改日期:2023-11-16
  • 录用日期:2023-08-23
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-12-08
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