新型数字基础设施、空间溢出与经济增长
CSTR:
作者单位:

广东工业大学

中图分类号:

F49

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(面上项目,重点项目,重大项目),国家社会科学基金项目,广东省哲学社会科学规划“建设粤港澳大湾区”和“支持深圳建设中国特色社会主义先行示范区”专项课题


New digital infrastructure, spatial spillovers and economic growth
Author:
Affiliation:

Guangdong University of Technology

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    摘要:

    为探究新型数字基础设施对经济增长的影响,本文首先将新型数字基础设施资本存量及其拥挤性纳入总量生产函数,构建动态一般均衡模型,从理论上探讨新型数字基础设施对经济增长的影响;其次,对2002-2020年我国各省(市、区)的新型数字基础设施进行测算和分析;然后,构建静态面板数据模型和空间面板模型,实证检验新型数字基础设施对经济增长的影响。结果表明,新型数字基础设施对经济增长的影响呈现“倒U型”变化,新型数字基础设施对经济增长具有显著的空间溢出效应。求解“倒U型”顶点对应的最优基础设施资本存量占总资本存量的比例为38.66%,目前,我国所有省(市、区)均未达到38.66%,意味着加强新型数字基础设施建设将会促进本地区和其他地区经济增长。

    Abstract:

    To investigate the impact of new digital infrastructures on economic growth, a dynamic general equilibrium model of economic growth was built firstly incorporating the capital stock of new digital infrastructure and its congestion into the aggregate production function. Secondly, the new digital infrastructure capital stocks in provinces of China from 2002 to 2020 were calculated and analyzed. Based on that, a static panel data model and three spatial panel models using provincial panel data for China from 2002 to 2020 were developed to empirically test the impact of the new digital infrastructure on economic growth. Both theoretical and empirical results show that the effects of new digital infrastructure on economic growth change as an “inverted U-shaped”, that is to say, having larger share of new digital infrastructure capital stock does not necessarily mean that it is better; The construction of new digital infrastructure has significant spatial spillover effects, which means that to construct new digital infrastructure in one province not only promotes the local economic growth, but also promotes other provincial economic growth through spatial spillover effects. Solve for the optimal share of infrastructure capital stock at the apex of the “inverted U-shaped” to be 38.66%. At present, the shares of new digital infrastructure capital stock in all provinces of China are below 38.66%, which means that it may increase the outputs per capita of all provinces to increase the share of new digital infrastructure capital stock in one province.

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引用本文

李秀敏,陈铭茵,张艺.新型数字基础设施、空间溢出与经济增长[J].技术经济,2023,42(11):132-146.

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  • 收稿日期:2023-06-14
  • 最后修改日期:2023-11-16
  • 录用日期:2023-08-23
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-12-08
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