环境规制对资源型城市转型非线性影响
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福州大学 经济管理学院

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G203

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国家自然科学“半参数门限空间滞后模型理论研究及其应用”(项目编号:72073030)。


Study on Nonlinear Effects of Environmental Regulation on the Transformation of Resource-Based Cities
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School of Economics and Management,Fuzhou University,Fuzhou

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    摘要:

    为探究环境规制、资源型城市转型及其空间资源溢出间关系,从空间溢出视角出发,在2011—2021年的113个资源型地级市数据基础上,构建半参数门限空间杜宾模型(STSDM),探索了环境规制对资源型城市转型绩效的非线性关系及其非对称性空间溢出影响。结果表明:①线性假设下环境规制不利于城市转型绩效提升,但非线性假设下,环境规制在初期有利于资源型城市转型绩效提升,具备有“边际效应递减”的非线性长期特征,偏导图呈弱“U形”特征;②资源型城市转型绩效在空间资源溢出效应上存在有非对称性;③资源型城市环境规制处于越高阶段,能够获得城市绩效转型的空间资源溢出红利越少。据此提出要因地适宜设立环境规制政策、建立长效环境保护机制等政策性建议。

    Abstract:

    In order to explore the relationship among environmental regulation, the transformation of resource-based cities, and spatial spillover of resources, a semi-parametric threshold spatial Durbin model (STSDM) was constructed based on data from 113 resource-based prefecture-level cities from 2011 to 2021, starting from the perspective of spatial spillover. The study investigated the nonlinear relationship of environmental regulation with the transformation performance of resource-based cities and its asymmetric spatial spillover effects. The results show: ① Under the linear assumption, environmental regulation is not conducive to improving the transformation performance of cities. However, under the nonlinear assumption, environmental regulation is beneficial to improving the transformation performance of resource-based cities in the early stage. It exhibits a non-linear long-term characteristic with a "diminishing marginal effect", and the partial derivative plot shows a weak "U-shaped" feature; ② There is asymmetry in the spatial spillover effects on the transformation performance of resource-based cities; ③ The higher the stage of environmental regulation in resource-based cities, the fewer spatial spillover dividends they can obtain for the transformation of urban performance. Based on this, policy suggestions are put forward, such as tailoring environmental regulation policies to local conditions and establishing a long-term environmental protection mechanism.

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叶阿忠,朱灵群,李田田,张源野.环境规制对资源型城市转型非线性影响[J].技术经济,2024,43(5):70-81.

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  • 收稿日期:2023-10-16
  • 最后修改日期:2024-05-14
  • 录用日期:2024-01-22
  • 在线发布日期: 2024-05-28
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