基于液氢的氢能产业链的平准化成本分析
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1.北京国氢中联氢能科技研究院有限公司;2.华东理工大学

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F426;TQ116.2

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中国氢能联盟2022政研项目(CHA2022RP003)


Levelized cost analysis of hydrogen energy chain based on liquid hydrogen
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1.China Hydrogen Alliance Research Institute Co.,Ltd;2.East China university of science and technology

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    摘要:

    氢能产业发展受到规模化、低成本制氢和长距离储运技术的制约,而液氢有望成为氢的低成本高效储运的最优技术路线。因此,本研究采用平准化成本模型,计算了液氢产业链中制氢、液化、储运和加注各环节的成本并分析了影响成本的主要因素,并根据地区的资源禀赋分析了四种路径下液氢产业链的成本。研究结果表明,不同制氢方式的成本存在显著差异,目前可再生能源电解水制氢成本较高,而焦炉煤气制氢成本较低。耗电成本和建设成本是影响液化成本的关键因素。在储运环节,随着运输距离的增加单位运输成本递减。在相同加注规模下,高压气氢加氢站的成本高于液氢加氢站。最后,本研究提出了降低液氢成本、促进液氢产业发展的建议。

    Abstract:

    The development of the hydrogen energy industry is constrained by the need for scale, low-cost hydrogen production, and long-distance hydrogen storage and transportation technologies. Liquid hydrogen is expected to be the optimal technological pathway for low-cost and efficient hydrogen storage and transportation. Therefore, this study used a levelized cost model to calculate the costs at various stages of the liquid hydrogen supply chain, including hydrogen production, liquefaction, storage, and refueling. The analysis identified key factors influencing costs and analyses the cost of liquid hydrogen production chains across four different pathways based on regional resource endowments. The research results indicate significant differences in costs depending on the hydrogen production method. The cost of water electrolysis based on renewable energy for hydrogen production is relatively high, while hydrogen production from coke oven gas is lower. Electricity consumption costs and construction costs emerge as critical factors affecting liquefaction costs. In the transportation and storage stage, unit transportation costs decrease with an increase in transportation distance. Notably, at the same refueling scale, the costs of high-pressure gaseous hydrogen refueling stations are higher than those of liquid hydrogen refueling stations. Finally, some suggestions are put forward to reduce the cost of liquid hydrogen and promote the development of the liquid hydrogen industry.

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万燕鸣,张岩,缪慧颖,于琨,程子睿,余亚东.基于液氢的氢能产业链的平准化成本分析[J].技术经济,,():.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-02-02
  • 最后修改日期:2025-04-15
  • 录用日期:2024-04-15
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