高标准农田建设与耕地“趋粮化” ——基于“双规模化”与技术进步视角
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对外经济贸易大学

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F323.211;F326.11

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High-standard Cropland Construction and “Grain-oriented” of Arable Land: Based on the Perspectives of “Double scale” and Technological Progress
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University of International Business and Economics

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    摘要:

    高标准农田建设可将“粮田”变“良田”,是牢牢守住保障国家粮食安全底线的战略基点。本文在梳理高标准农田建设对耕地“趋粮化”影响效果的理论逻辑基础上,以高标准农田建设政策为准自然实验,采用连续型双重差分法,系统考察高标准农田建设政策对农地种粮决策的影响及其作用机制。研究表明:高标准农田建设政策显著提高了粮食播种面积占比,产生“趋粮化”效应,此结论在一系列稳健性检验后依然成立。动态效应分析发现,随着高标准农田建设的不断推进,其助推耕地“趋粮化”效应不断增强。异质性分析表明,高标准农田建设政策在平原、农业依赖度高及耕地面积大的地区的耕地“趋粮化”的促进效果更佳。机制分析表明,高标准农田建设政策借助土地规模化、服务规模化及技术进步渠道影响耕地“趋粮化”。进一步研究表明,合作社发展及涉农信贷投放能够强化高标农田建设政策对耕地“趋粮化”的促进作用。

    Abstract:

    The construction of high-standard cropland can improve the quality of arable land, which is a strategic base for guaranteeing national food security. Based on the quasi-natural experiment of the high-standard cropland construction policy, the effect of high-standard cropland construction policy on the decision-making of grain cultivation on farmland is examined by adopting the continuous difference-in-difference method. The result shows that the high-standard cropland construction policy significantly increases the the proportion of grain sown area and produces a "grain-oriented" effect. The conclusion still holds after a series of robustness tests. The dynamic effect analysis reveals that as the construction of high-standard cropland continues, its effect of promoting the "grain-oriented" effect on cropland continues to increase. Heterogeneity analysis shows that the high-standard cropland construction policy is more effective in promoting the "grain-oriented" cultivated land in plain areas, higher agricultural dependent areas, and larger cultivated land areas. Mechanism analysis indicates that the high-standard cropland construction policy influences the "grain-oriented" cultivated land by land scaling, service scaling and technological progress. Further research illustrates that the development of cooperatives and agricultural credit investment can strengthen the promotion effect of the high-standard cropland construction policy on the "grain-oriented" cultivation of arable land.

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倪丹丹.高标准农田建设与耕地“趋粮化” ——基于“双规模化”与技术进步视角[J].技术经济,2024,43(10):27-38.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-03-07
  • 最后修改日期:2024-10-16
  • 录用日期:2024-04-23
  • 在线发布日期: 2024-11-05
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