中国产业关联网络的结构特征与演化机制分析
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青岛科技大学

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F426

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Analysis of the structural characteristics and evolution mechanism of industrial association network in China
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Qingdao University of Science and Technology

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    摘要:

    采用社会网络分析方法,利用2012—2020年中国42个产业部门的投入产出表数据,对产业关联网络的结构特征进行动态描述,并建立基于随机行动者的网络动力学模型对产业关联网络的演化机制进行识别与分析。结果表明:42个产业网络的整体性指标并无显著性差异,网络关联指标大于0.75,网络整体趋于稳定。化学产品以及交通运输、仓储和邮政一直处于中心地位,第二产业尤其是制造业在网络中处于核心地位。2012—2015年,中国产业关联网络可以分为4个板块(双向溢出板块I、II,经纪人板块,净受益板块),2017—2020年,经纪人板块消失,出现了主受益板块,板块内的产业关联效应更加明显,各产业更倾向于与板块内的成员发生关联关系。产业关联活动主要集中在金属制品,化学产品,通信设备、计算机和其他电子设备,电器机械和器材,金属冶炼和压延等制造业,以及批发和零售,交通运输、仓储和邮政,信息传输、软件和信息技术服务等服务业。内生结构因素的相对重要性为53.11%,其在网络关系演化中发挥重要作用,负的出度效应表明关联关系较多的产业难以发展新关系,传递效应表明产业存在不断细化的趋势,外生属性因素的相对重要性为46.89%,其中劳动力的影响最为显著,占比达到20.52%。

    Abstract:

    Using the social network analysis method, this paper uses the input—output table data of 42 industrial sectors in China from 2012 to 2020 to dynamically describe the structural characteristics of industrial association networks, and establishes a network dynamics model based on random actors to identify and analyze the evolution mechanism of industrial association networks. The results show that there is no significant difference in the overall index of the 42 industrial networks, and the network correlation index is greater than 0.75, and the overall network tend to be stable. Chemical products and transportation, warehousing and postal services have always been central, and the secondary industry, especially manufacturing, is at the heart of the network. From 2012 to 2015, China's industrial related network can be divided into 4 sectors (bidirectional spillover plate I, II, broker plate, net benefit plate), from 2017 to 2020, the broker plate disappeared, the main benefit plate appeared, the industrial association effect within the plate is more obvious, and each industry is more inclined to associate with the members in the same plate. Industry—related activities are mainly concentrated in the manufacturing of metal products, chemical products, communication equipment, computers and other electronic equipment, electrical machinery and equipment, metal smelting and calendering, as well as services such as wholesale and retail, transportation, warehousing and postal, information transmission, software and information technology services. The relative importance of endogenous structural factors is 53.11%, which plays an important role in the evolution of network relationships, the negative outdegree effect indicates that it is difficult to develop new relationships in industries with more correlations, the transitive effect indicates that there is a trend of continuous refinement in the industry, and the relative importance of external factors is 46.89%, of which the influence of labor is the most significant, accounting for 20.52%.

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吕承超,郭梦瑶,高月球.中国产业关联网络的结构特征与演化机制分析[J].技术经济,,():.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-07-18
  • 最后修改日期:2024-11-23
  • 录用日期:2024-12-12
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