灾害经历如何影响农户技术采纳?——以抗旱适应性技术为例
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1.中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所;2.呼和浩特市贸易发展和投资促进中心

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F3

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国家自然科学基金项目(面上项目,重点项目,重大项目);国家重点研发计划


How do disaster experiences affect farmers'' adoption of technologies? ——A Case Study of Drought-Adaptive Technologies
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1.Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development,Chinese Academy of Agricultural Science;2.Hohhot Trade Development and Investment Promotion Center

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    摘要:

    在全球气候变化加剧、极端天气事件频发的背景下,农户的适应性技术采纳是构建农业防灾体系的微观基础。本文基于中国食用豆主产区三地561户农户的实地调研数据,以抗旱措施为研究对象,系统考察农户采纳气候适应性技术的驱动机制。研究结果表明:第一,气候灾害冲击是驱动农户采纳抗旱技术的核心因素,但影响强度存在异质性,对采用抗旱种子、变换种植结构、变换播种或收获时间以及采用气象服务均具有显著促进作用,但对增加灌溉无显著影响,反映出适应性技术采纳存在资源约束门槛;第二,支付意愿是决定农户技术支付能力的核心前提,支付意愿的形成主要由受灾严重程度驱动。本文揭示了农户技术采纳行为中“灾害驱动—技术分化—意愿主导—能力制约”的传导机制,本文为完善农业防灾减灾政策、优化气象服务供给模式提供了微观实证依据。

    Abstract:

    Against the backdrop of intensifying global climate change and the frequent occurrence of extreme weather events, the adoption of adaptive technologies by farming households is regarded as the micro-level foundation for constructing agricultural disaster prevention systems. Based on field survey data collected from 561 farming households across three major edible bean producing regions in China, this study took drought-resistant measures as the research object and systematically investigated the driving mechanisms behind farmers’ adoption of climate-adaptive technologies. The findings indicate that, first, climate disaster shocks serve as a core factor driving farmers’ adoption of drought-resistant technologies, although the intensity of this effect exhibits heterogeneity. Such shocks significantly promote the adoption of drought-resistant seeds, adjustments in planting structure, changes in sowing or harvesting time, and the use of meteorological services, yet they show no significant effect on increasing irrigation, reflecting the presence of resource constraints as a threshold for adaptive technology adoption. Second, the willingness to pay is the fundamental prerequisite for determining the technical payment capacity of farmers, and the formation of this willingness is mainly driven by the severity of the disaster. This study reveals a transmission mechanism of “disaster-driven, technology-differentiated, willingness-dominated, and capacity-constrained” in farmers’ technology adoption behavior, providing micro-level empirical evidence for improving agricultural disaster prevention and mitigation policies and optimizing the delivery model of meteorological services.

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王法麟,吴姝奇,麻吉亮.灾害经历如何影响农户技术采纳?——以抗旱适应性技术为例[J].技术经济,,():.

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  • 收稿日期:2026-04-03
  • 最后修改日期:2026-08-13
  • 录用日期:2026-08-17
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